Recent analysis of crypto experts recognize that Bitcoin (BTC) price movements are closely correlated with global M2 monetary supply. Based on this, they predict potential high boost for the crypto market at the end of March.

With the expansion of global liquidity, analysts predict that bitcoin and other digital assets may experience significant high, starting around March 25, 2025 and potentially lasting until mid -May.

M2 Global and its influence on Bitcoin

M2 monetary supply represents a wide range of liquidity, including money, cash deposits and easily convertible assets. Historically, Bitcoin has demonstrated a strong correlation with M2 fluctuations, as increased liquidity in financial markets often drives demand for alternative assets such as cryptocurrencies.

Colin Talks Crypto, an X -(Twitter) analyst, highlighted this correlation, pointing to a sharp increase in the global M2. He described this as a “vertical line” in the chart, signaling an imminent increase in asset prices.

According to its forecast, the rise for stocks, bitcoin and the crypto market generally should start on March 25, 2025 and extend until May 14, 2025.

Global M2 monetary supply chart has just printed another vertical line. The discharge for actions, bitcoin and crypto will be epic, he suggested.

Black Swan Capitalist co -founder Vandell supports M2’s global movements directly influence the price of bitcoin. He notes that falls in the global M2 are typically followed by falls in the bitcoin market and cryptocurrencies about ten weeks later.

Despite the potential for short -term falls, Vandell believes this cycle prepares the ground for a long -term high trend.

As recently seen, when the Global M2 fell, Bitcoin & Crypto followed about 10 weeks later. Although more falls are possible, this retraction is a natural part of the cycle. This change in liquidity will probably continue throughout the year, preparing the ground for the next discharge, Vandell explained.

Similarly, another popular analyst, Michaël van de Poppe, sees the expansion of M2 as one of five key indicators for early market recovery. He emphasizes that with inflation no longer being the main focus and expectations of rates of rates by the US Federal Reserve, financial conditions are becoming more favorable to Bitcoin.

The question is: inflation is not the main theme, it will probably fall. Fed rate cuts. The dollar will weaken massively. The income will fall. The M2 offer will expand significantly. And as this process began, it’s just a matter of time until Altcoins and Crypto gain strength. Bull, he stated.

Historical context and projections

The correlation between the price of bitcoin and the global growth of M2 is not new. Tomas, a macroeconomist, recently compared previous market cycles, particularly in 2017 and 2020. At the time, significant increases in the global M2 coincided with Bitcoin’s strongest annual performances.

The monetary supply is expanding globally. The last two large global highs of M2 took place in 2017 and 2020 – Enfs coincided with mini ‘bubbles of everything’ and Bitcoin’s strongest years. Could we see a repetition in 2025? Depends on the US dollar weaken significantly, Tomas noted.

Tomas also highlighted the impact of central banks policies, pointing out that while large banks are cutting rates, the US dollar strength can be a limiting factor. If the dollar index (DXY) falls to about 100 or less, this could create conditions similar to previous high rigs of Bitcoin.

The role of the Federal Reserve

Macroeconomic researcher Yimin Xu believes that the Federal Reserve can interrupt his quantitative tightening policies (QT) in the second half of the year. In fact, Yimin says that such movement could potentially move to quantitative loosening (QE) if economic conditions so require. This change could inject additional liquidity into the markets, boosting Bitcoin’s upward trajectory.

I think the reserves can be too low for the Fed taste in the second half of the year. I predict that they will end the QT at the end of the third quarter or fourth quarter, with possible to follow, commented xu .

Tomas agreed, stating that Federal Reserve’s current plan is to increase his balance sheet slowly, which is in line with GDP growth. He also articulates that a major financial event could trigger a complete return to QE.

These perspectives suggest that uncertainties remain, including the strength of the US dollar and potential economic shocks. However, the broader consensus between analysts points to a phase of impending high for Bitcoin.

Investors should conduct their own research as they continue to observe macroeconomic indicators in the coming months, anticipating whether the planned rally will materialize.