Recession would be “great catalyst” for Bitcoin, says Blackrock

Blackrock Digital Assets, Robbie Mitchnick, recently indicated that potential recession in the United States could act as a “great catalyst” for Bitcoin.

During an interview with Yahoo Finance, Mitchnick suggested that although it is not possible to predict whether or not the recession will occur, adverse economic conditions such as increased tax spending, deficit accumulation and lower interest rates could create a favorable environment for cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin as a refuge in times of economic uncertainty

Mitchnick explained that the economic factors that normally accompany recessions can be beneficial to Bitcoin. This includes monetary stimuli and fear of social disorder, which would increase the demand for assets considered safe refuges such as bitcoin.

“A recession would be a great catalyst for Bitcoin,” said the Blackrock executive, noting that cryptocurrency behaves differently from other traditional assets, such as actions, commodities and high performance titles, which tend to suffer during economic crises.

Although many investors still consider Bitcoin a risk asset, Mitchnick was clear in his position: cryptocurrency does not fit this category.

By September 2024, he had already pointed out that, unlike actions and other traditional assets, Bitcoin should be considered a decentralized asset and “safe haven,” whose performance is not necessarily correlated with conventional economic fluctuations.

In fact, the Blackrock executive stated that Bitcoin could be “not correlated or even inversely correlated” with certain risk factors.

Institutional adoption also played a key role in BTC growth. Blackrock, in particular, took a significant step in this regard with the release of its ETF Ishares Bitcoin Trust (Ibit) in 2024, which quickly became the bottom with the largest equity among Bitcoin Spot ETFs, exceeding $ 48.7 billion.

The speed with which this fund has reached $ 10 billion in assets shows how Bitcoin’s adoption by high -level financial institutions is gaining ground quickly.

Recession probabilities in the US for 2025. Source: Polymarket
Recession probabilities in the US for 2025. Source: Polymarket

The future of the BTC in the global economic context

The growth of index funds such as Ishares Bitcoin Trust reflects the growing institutional interest in cryptocurrency.

This phenomenon is transforming Bitcoin from an alternative investment into a more legitimate option in traditional portfolios, which could have even more significant implications if economic recession materializes.

In times of financial uncertainty, investors seek assets that can offer a refuge against the volatility of traditional markets, and Bitcoin could position itself as one of these alternatives.

It is possible that the cryptocurrency market has advanced with expectations about the speed with which deregulation and other catalysts would arrive, these Mitchnick.

As institutional adoption continues to grow and education about the benefits of Bitcoin expands, its role in the global economy is expected to evolve.

The key to the future of Bitcoin will be its ability to remain an unresolved asset, which would allow it to stand out in an uncertain economic scenario.

Although it still is still to see if a recession will trigger an increase in the adoption of cryptocurrencies, the truth is that Bitcoin is well positioned to take advantage of the macroeconomic dynamics of the coming years.

BTC price performance. Source: Beincrypto
BTC price performance. Source: Beincrypto

At the time of the newsroom, the BTC was being negotiated at $ 86,142, with an increase of almost 3.2% since the opening of today’s session.

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